So the hand I’m about to post is super frustrating because its an absurd cooler for $6,000, but there is also a lot of analysis that can be taken away from it so I figured I’d post it. This hand is from Sunday. It was a frustrating day to say the least. Here is the hand below. Villain opens fairly tight UTG and is straight forward post flop. Your standard abc, good hand reading reg. Reads are he never goes for thin value and won’t really bluff much deep, but knows I’m aggro so calls me down light. An orbit ago I turned an underpair into a bluff in a single raised pot on a paired board and he called me down with 99 on JJ3xx board.
$1000.00 No Limit Hold’em – 6 players – View hand 1255823
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter
MP: $1906.52
CO: $2000.00
Hero (BTN): $2883.50
SB: $2276.50
BB: $4653.37
UTG: $2914.75
Pre Flop: ($15.00) Hero is BTN with Q
Q
UTG raises to $40, 1 fold, CO calls $40, Hero calls $40, 2 folds
Flop: ($135.00) T
2 2 (3 players)
UTG bets $100.00, CO folds, Hero raises to $270, UTG calls $170
Turn: ($675.00) Q
(2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $440.00, UTG calls $440
River: ($1555.00) K (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $1183.00, UTG raises to $2162.25, Hero calls $950.50 all in
Final Pot: $5822.00
Here is some analysis and my thought process at the time on the hand:
Preflop
This is a spot where I 3b a majority of the time 100-150 deep. However we are 300 BBs deep and there is a fish in the blinds and I think calling is better to play a potentially big pot on the button in position vs the reg and fish who will overcall a lot.
Flop
A great flop for my hand. The reg has a lot of broadways that may contain a T that he will bet for value, I also think he cbets most pairs 77+ here, although given his sizing I think its safe to discount his pairs under top pair a little, but not rule them out. I think he bets a lot of broadway hands in his range too with this size more than the under pairs to reduce the chance I float him with a smaller pair or QJ type hand which I probably would. I raise the flop for a couple reasons. My hand is very strong vs his range. Given the fact that I just tried to bluff him and failed I think he’s going to call this raise with almost all of his range that contains a pair and I’ll definitely get two streets vs KT+ because my raising range here is super polarized and the reg knows it. I’m not worried about the fish nor am I worried about him folding a hand he’d call if I flatted the reg. If he had a hand like 66 maybe I push him off the pot but most fish are calling with any T here regardless because there’s very few hands I can have that he beats. Fish love to call.
Turn
BINK. Now I gots the full house. Villian could have 22 here but I mean if he has 22 fuck him, that’s ridiculous. Okay so now how much to bet? A lot of my flop raising range has air very strong hands like JJ+ and hands with overcards and straight air that I would almost always be barreling this turn. Any hand like AJ, KJ, etc that are still air would definitely be barreling this turn, so naturally I’m going to bet a majority of my value range. I actually dislike my turn bet sizing here. I hit gin and I’m going to be bluffing here a lot so I think if I were bluffing I would bet closer to pot which is around 600. I think 550-600 is better because I can bet more on the river as well. I think especially if he’s not folding KK or AA maybe even overbetting 800-900 or so would be better to set up a river shove and super polarize to the point where the guy would literally have to put me on TT/QQ only to fold which he basically never does when I bet like that. I actually wish I had overbet there.
River
Given the line I actually dislike my sizing. It’s almost full pot and the K is not a good hand for his range unless he had KT. His AT and JJ and underpair combos are not calling a big bet any more given the board runout and I think I’m only getting called if he played TT or AA this way which is a possibility. I think I like somewhere in the $700 region a lot better. Anyways so I bet huge… he tanks for aboout 70% of his timebank and SHOVES. I snap called unhappily expecting 22 and KK damn near 100% of the time. I just felt likeI couldn’t fold. I don’t think he even shoves TT here. He knows I’m super polarized and now I’m probably betting a top pair type hand which isn’t calling a shove (yeah this is one of those guys that doesn’t shove when you’re polarized and he has 2nd / 3rd nuts). So given this read and the fact that he shoves I literally think he has a range of KK+ here. I actually thought that when he shoved but made a “FU if u have me beat call”. This guy is never bluffing here, and I don’t beat any of his 4 combo value range. In hindsight this river is a fold. It’s a hand that no one outside of .5/1 full ring on Stars would ever fold… but its a fold. This goes along with a line I always pass along to my stakes, which is “the narrower they rep, the more often they have it.” Especially at higher levels, people know what range they’re repping… This guy knows that in raising here he reps KK+ only and to turn a hand that he gets to the river with here into a bluff would be absurd. I don’t give him credit to do something like this. Because of these reasons, despite getting 5-1… this river is a fold.
$1000.00 No Limit Hold’em – 6 players – View hand 1255823
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter
MP: $1906.52
CO: $2000.00
Hero (BTN): $2883.50
SB: $2276.50
BB: $4653.37
UTG: $2914.75
Pre Flop: ($15.00) Hero is BTN with Q Q
UTG raises to $40, 1 fold, CO calls $40, Hero calls $40, 2 folds
Flop: ($135.00) T 2 2 (3 players)
UTG bets $100.00, CO folds, Hero raises to $270, UTG calls $170
Turn: ($675.00) Q (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $440.00, UTG calls $440
River: ($1555.00) K (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $1183.00, UTG raises to $2162.25, Hero calls $950.50 all in
Final Pot: $5822.00
Hero shows Q Q
UTG shows K K
(Rake: $-9.50)
seen below, which is one of the coolest houses I have visited, both because it is the nicest house I have probably been in, and because it contains a fantastic combination of money personalities, bro. 
